The best laid plans are sometimes thwarted…

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It’s been awhile since I went over a losing trade so I thought that my play in MSFT today might help out a few fellow traders. This setup in MSFT today is my bread and butter, I look for the 3-5, or 8 bar swing on the hourly chart to form, then I look for a PBS or PSS to trigger.
MSFT 05152015 Hourly
Next, I zoom down to the 5 minute chart and look to take the next pull back that triggers into a PBS. I usually SOH (set on Hands) until the next Pristine Buy Setup because this will allow you to tell if there is “really” going to be some follow through on the 60 minute buy that triggers. My problem is that at times I have a hard time waiting for the pull back and I found myself taking a false breakout in MSFT this afternoon after the hourly buy had triggered. There is nothing wrong with taking these but I prefer to wait for the pull back but for some reason I found myself hung out to dry as I entered the failed breakout after a 25 minute consolidation. I got out of the trade promptly because I knew they were going to sell it off hard as they did. The real eye opener on the play that I found at the end of the day was how price dropped down all the way into Major Support even giving another false trigger long and rolling over but then Volume came in. I’m writing this because I need to pay more attention to Volume, If I would have just stayed away until the volume came in I would have stayed out of trouble. I’m not sure if I would have taken the play this late in the day if I were watching, but this is a good lesson on how timing your plays with volume can make your trades much more potent.
MSFT 05152015 5 minute

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Game Over!

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AUDUSD 04242015

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Just a little bit more…

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Well I had to sit through a little pull back but it looks like price will make it to target, hopefully!
AUDUSD 04232015

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AUSUSD update from my last post…

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Almost there with 120 pip profit…
AUDUSD 04222015

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Nice long trade in AUDUSD

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I have a nice long trade in AUDUSD which triggered on the 4 hour chart late yesterday afternoon. My pick was based on the weekly chart where you can clearly see that last week we had a large green wide range bar. I’m expecting some continuation this week up into the void that I marked on the chart.
AUDUSD Weekly 04212015
My entry was near the 50% Fib level which actually set up nicely as a PBS in the PBZ off the rising 50 period moving average. My target is marked 120 pips away…
AUDUSD 04212015

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Game over!

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Well, it’s been 3 week since I’ve been in a Forex trade in a market that I at least find one trade a week. It’s not that things had not set up properly but quite the contrary, the only problem as for the last 2 of the 3 weeks are my potential trades had triggered on a Thursday Vs. Wednesday and of course they went nicely to profit. My only requirement is that I must be in the play by Midnight Wednesday because my plan does not allow me to hold positions over the weekend for fear of a black swan gap, etc. Anyway, I was looking at a few pairs that were setting up and I went with the one that was at my buy area first and that was GBPJPY. I had my orders starting at $177.82 at the 50% fib level which triggered late yesterday evening. It did not take long but overnight price had went to my 120 pip take profit target for the week… Wow! They don’t always get to the target this fast…
GBPJPY 04082015

04082015 GBPJPY

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QQQ continuation…

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Well after yesterday’s late afternoon breakdown in the QQQ over the last hour of trading, I felt that we should get some follow through to the downside, the only question was how far would the Q’s drop. The QQQ sold off nicely during the first 5 minutes and I felt price would continue lower even thou support was near. I was in short at 105.27 and price just collapsed hitting my first target @ 104.88 where I covered 1/2 of my share size. My next target was 104.20 but price started to find support in the .50 cent area where I finally covered another 1/4 of my shares leaving the last 1/4 for a possible breakdown to my lower target. I had one add and reduce in the 104.68 area but soon I found myself trailing out of my final shares @ 104.97. A great way to start the month of April…

QQQ 04012015

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15 minute PSS

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My play of the day came in the QQQ on a 15 minute sell setup that triggered over lunch. I had expected this sell off yesterday afternoon and had found myself short into yesterday’s close holding a small loss on my play. Today, we got the gap down or move lower that I was expecting from the day before, by the way, this is how the market screws the day trader! Anyway, I was able to take the beautiful 15 minute sell setup. Even Thou price was not convinced at first that it wanted to head lower, the Q’s finally broke down and I was able to add to my play and hit two of my lower targets. Overall, just a really nice play…
QQQ 03312015

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FSLR almost got the Job done…

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I had a scratch day on Friday with a small loser in NKE and my small winner in FSLR. The Daily chart was “ok” looking but what got FSLR on my list was the 60 minute chart which looked as if a buy was setting up. Price continued to pull back for the first hour of the trading day but at 10 am reversal time FSLR had bottomed. My entry was above an igniting green wide range bar @ 59.99. Price moved up nicely for the next hour and then began to move sideways through lunch time. Near the end of lunch price did a minor shake out to below the base where I added more shares to my play and brought up the stop to 60.30. Price finally took off higher but there was never really any follow through as price again began to fade lower as I felt I should take my chips off the table which I did at 60.47. Price did recover but would have hit my raised stop by the end of the day as price sold off hard during the last 10 minutes of the trading session.
FSLR 03202015

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9:45 wide range bar strategies

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I had two really nice plays today in both NOV and COST. Nothing out of the ordinary as far as profit, just two nice 1 risk unit plays that gave me a nice 2 risk unit day. You could make day trading a career if you can average 1-2 risk units of profit daily. Anyway, my first trade was a short attempt in NOV. I hesitated in taking the play at first since the market was continuing its bullish trek higher but was also nearing an area of possible resistance. I found NOV on my 9:45 am wide range bar scan and spotted price triggering a fairly nice sell setup. I was short in the play at 48.14 as price triggered with my first take profit area near the prior low of 47.79. I soon hit my first target taking profits but price just spiked upward soon afterward causing me to believe that price was over going lower for now, 2nd, the market was breaking out above its prior high, so I covered my final shares with about a full 1 Risk unit of profit in the bank…
NOV 03162015

My second play in COST I took after I had a confirmation COG and buy trigger on the 60 minute chart. I then zoomed down to the 5 minute chart and waited for the next buy setup to trigger. This has always test my patience since I already wanted to be in the play, but I waited and I got a beautiful 5 minute buy setup. Price triggered and moved up nicely hitting my first longer target at 150.15 where I sold 2/3rds of my stock. I wanted to hold the rest into the close but soon afterward COST put in a Red wide range bar to the downside that I just could not ignore so I ended the play. Not a bad day at all to start this new week in March with two risk units of profit, I wish a safe St. Patrick’s Day for everyone!

COST 03162015

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