QQQ update for market play on April 1st, 2013 and TraderHank’s daily stock picks

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Spring break was a tough trading week with lighter volume and I like many traders, really did not know which way this market was going to go.  I believe we got an answer Thursday afternoon as the market broke out and closed near the highs of the day but still in an area of Major resistance.  For Monday, if we gap above the $69.00 area I would look to take the next 5 or 15 minute buy setup preferable at 10 am or 10:30 am with a long target for the QQQ @ the $69.75 area.  If we gap down above the 68.76 area and start to rally, I’d take the first 2 or 5 minute buy setup.  If the gap is below this area, I’d be looking to get short on the first 5 minute sell in the market with a low target of $68.64-$68.52 area.  It will be an interesting day since it is a banking holiday for most of Europe…

QQQ0331213
QQQ0331213

Shorts:  None

Longs:

ADBE – Wide range bar

BAC – Daily buy watch

STI – Pivot I

TEVA – Daily buy watch

WFC – Daily buy watch 

WMT – Break out watch

Posted in Daily Analysis, TraderHank's Stock Picks | Comments Off on QQQ update for market play on April 1st, 2013 and TraderHank’s daily stock picks

03-16-2013 Perfect trading week

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I just had one of the best weeks of trading I believe since I started trading over 4 years ago.  It started last Wednesday and carried into everyday this week.  I had not one losing trade since Wednesday of last week.  I could not even find a trade on Thursday 3-14-2013 so no trade was taken.  Things that I have changed are now I take a walk every day and I attempt to leave just as lunch starts at 8:15 am (PST) reversal time.  I did hang around for an extra 30 minutes on Friday looking for a lunch time trade but nothing was setting up correctly.  Leaving on my walks have really helped me structure my day, I will usually eat breakfast during this time and I’ll come back to my trade desk to start to look at plays around 10:30 am.  I’ve also noticed that I have not missed out on one play by leaving for my walk, so basically this has kept me out of trouble.  Early lunch time trading is extremely difficult vs. entering closer to the 10:30 am-11:15 am time period, the later the better usually.  

I also raised my risk unit back to normal, I’ve taken less trades, but better quality trades.  I’ve focused on adding and reducing and becoming rigid in my rules but more flexible in my expectations.  On my early trades I now allow myself to move my stop to a break even as price has moved in my favor by .10 cents.  These are trades taken from 9:30 am -10:00 am usually they are gap plays and or 5 minute momentum plays which price action can be wide and wild and these plays usually won’t back up if they take off in the right direction.  With my 4 years of experience I’m an excellent candle stick reader and I’ve found there is no reason to hang out and take a stop when my eyes are telling me to exit the trade, so now I’ll sell 1/2 of my shares and bring the trade to a break even stop.  Trades taken off the 5 or 15 minute charts after 10 am I’ll usually stay with the trade allowing for a greater movement in price action especially after 10:30 am where I take nothing but 15 minute setups.  I’ve notice that the 15 minute time frame usually takes more time to develop and many times these plays won’t take off until after 2:15 pm or even near the close of the day.

The last but I feel the most important thing that I’ve done to improve and master my trading is to focus on the 60 minute chart.  I believe when I’m having a slump it’s due to me not focusing on the 60 minute chart.  I may have a beautiful 15 minute chart setting up but I now ask my self, would I take the trade based on the 60 minute chart?  This has kept me out of losing trades all week long.  For example if there are 5 green bars on the 60 minute chart and we now have the first red bar which is a COG and the 15 minute chart is setting up for a buy, I know now that It’s going to fail.  I know that the 60 minute chart is done going up and has a COG, odds are that the next 60 minute bar is going to be red as well, which is going to cause any 15 minute buy to fail.  Focus on you 60 minute time frame, I believe it’s the most important time frame for successful day trading.

PS  As an added note I’ve been struggling to figure out when to hold the trade into the close or not…  I’ve found that generally, morning trades are best ended before lunch and that 15 minute plays or afternoon plays are best held to the EOD if possible.  Again be flexible with your expectations and ridged in your rules!

Posted in Diary | Comments Off on 03-16-2013 Perfect trading week

TraderHank’s play of the day in JPM

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My next play and last play on this Friday, March 15th, 2013 was in JPM which I found on my GAP down list as a Tier III gap in which the entry must come from a compelling intraday pattern which occurred after lunch.  JPM had rallied hard after gaping down at the open under yesterday's sold green bar trapping all the longs from yesterday.  When you see the chart below, you will notice that JPM was being bought into the close and I'm sure that many held overnight expecting JPM to gap open to the upside.  Many traders were caught off guard when JPM gaped a full dollar from it's closing price yesterday.  As price moved up into yesterday's price action, buyers started to unload their stock and price rolled over triggering a 15 minute sell which I gladly entered short.  I took the elevator down, JPM gave me 6 red bars to the downside allowing me to take some nice profits on the way down.  I did not hit the glory T1 area as the market did (QQQ) but I did have a nice 2 risk unit profitable trade on a Friday afternoon.  With this last trade of the week I had a perfect trading week, not 1 loser, All winners 🙂  Have a great weekend everyone!

JPM03152013
JPM03152013
Posted in Gap plays | Comments Off on TraderHank’s play of the day in JPM

QQQ afternoon update and TraderHank’s first play of the day in AKAM

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The Q's had a surprise gap down this morning opening at 68.75 and selling off until 10 am where price had hit major support and price rallied until 11:30 triggering a 15 minute sell in the market.  Price fell into the lunch time but failed to make a lower low and the Q's started to rally to test the recent high of 68.72 but failed as the Q's came up short at 68.70 thus forming a double top with the declining 20 ma and the flat 200 ma directly overhead.  Price began to sell off at 1:50 and has continued to the downside setting a new low for the day by 2:50 @ 68.34 which looks to be the low for this trading period.  

QQQ03152013
QQQ03152013

My first play was in AKAM which I found on my gap up list as a Tier II gap which means that I need a good entry to enter the play.  AKAM sold off hard into the the rising 20 ma on the 1 minute chart thus I hesitated on the entry and decided to wait for the 5 minute bar to be taken out before I enter the play.  Upon entry, price moved up nicely and I was up about .15 cents when I brought my stop up to break even on the play.  Price started to accelerate so I decide to sell 1/2 at the break of a 1 or 2 minute bar.  As I sold 1/2 price came crashing down taking out my stop and ending the play with a slight gain.  Price did correct itself but could not make a significant higher high and AKAM sold off hard for the rest of the day. 

AKAM03152013
AKAM03152013
Posted in Daily Analysis, Gap plays | Comments Off on QQQ afternoon update and TraderHank’s first play of the day in AKAM

QQQ morning update and TraderHank’s short play in EBAY

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The Q’s were gaping up slightly this morning to open on the mornings high of 68.80-68.81 then sold off immediately setting the low of the morning by 10 am @ 68.39 an area of major support.  Price has since bounced off major support and is currently at the 68.65 area.  Currently we are in a sideways pattern in the QQQ…

QQQ03132013
QQQ03132013

My first trade came in EBAY which I found during my 9:35 am momentum scan as a 5 minute, red, wide range bar to the downside.  I shorted the low with my stop at the high and EBAY fell like a rock actually going climatic on the 5 minute chart.  A beautiful play with excellent results and a total profit of 2.5 risk units of profit 🙂  I almost hesitated, but after looking at the 60 minute chart, I was sold on the play as the hourly chart had just triggered an hourly sell, powerful!  

ebay03132013
ebay03132013

   

Posted in 5 minute momentum play, Daily Analysis | Comments Off on QQQ morning update and TraderHank’s short play in EBAY

QQQ afternoon update TraderHank’s play in SNDK

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The QQQ gap down to minor support to open the day @ 68.69 which looked to be the low for the day as price rallied into 10 am setting the high of the day currently at 68.93.  Price rolled over at reversal time, 10 am, and started a new down trend, breaking down through the 68.69 area of minor support and continued lower to finally bounce off the major support area of 68.39 by 11:30 am and setting what looks to be the low of the day. Since, price has rallied into lunch time but rolled back over as the Q's triggered a 15 minute sell @ 1:30 reversal time and has since moved back down to test major support again and set the first higher low for the day 2:15 pm, the end of lunch on Wall Street.  Currently the market has ground it's way upward to the 68.71 area just above today's opening price with 15 minutes to go, I doubt that we break through the morning highs...

 
QQQ3122012330
QQQ3122012330

My first and only play of the day came late today on a 15 minute buy in SNDK which I found this morning during my 9:45 wide range bar scan.  My first entry of the day came at 11:15 am as SNDK triggered a textbook 15 minute buy @ minor support, with bottoming tail, @ the rising 20 ma, with the 40 below pictured like railroad tracks.  Let's just say the play had a lot going for it.  I entered and price shot up quickly never to return. I sold 1/2 of my shares at .30 and soon after, price triggered a 5 minute buy that allowed me to add back some shares and reduced my stop.  SNDK hit the glory T2 target of .70 where I sold the 2nd 1/2 of my shares with a total profit of 2 risk units....  The chart below of SNDK could be in any textbook on trading, this is how it's done, this is my mastery!

SNDK03122013
SNDK03122013
Posted in 9:45 Wide Range Bar Plays, Daily Analysis | Comments Off on QQQ afternoon update TraderHank’s play in SNDK

QQQ closing update and TraderHank’s play in POT

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The Q's gaped lower this morning to open Monday @ 68.68 and proceeding to move lower setting the low of the day by 10:50 am @ 68.47 near major support.  Just before lunch price bounced off major support and proceed to start a new 5 minute uptrend setting the lunch time high at 1:35 of 68.83 when price faded until 2:35 pm to a higher low of 68.69, then price broke upward setting a new high of 68.98 and fading slightly into 3:30 pm reversal time when price triggered the last 5 minute buy and setting a new high of 68.99 and closing near the highs at 68.95.

QQQ03112013
QQQ03112013

My first and only play was in POT which I found after 5 minutes from the open as a possible momentum play.  POT had a nice 5 minute wide range bar with nice obvious targets above.  I entered above the 1st 5 minute bar but was soon forced to set through a 10 minute pull back with a possible chance of a stop out.  Price finally pivoted and shot upward near my first target with two 5 minute wide range bars I decided to sell 1/2 of my shares since I was only .10 cents away from my 1st target.  My 1st target was finally hit and I sold another 1/2 of my shares and as price broke to new highs I unloaded a few more shares.  Price soon faded into a beautiful 5 minute buy near the rising 20 ma where I bought back 1/2 of the shares and sold them again at the previous high pivot.  Price soon shot straight up again and I sold a few more shares and moved my stop up just below a prior base.  During my morning walk my final shares were taken out as price came down and took out my final stop.  Great play with 1 2/3rds risk unit profit made.  

pot03112013
pot03112013
Posted in 5 minute momentum play, Daily Analysis | Comments Off on QQQ closing update and TraderHank’s play in POT

QQQ recomendations for Tuesday, March 5th, 2013 and TraderHank’s stock picks

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The QQQ closed at its highs today with a 5 minute uptrend firmly established, for tomorrow if we gap up at the open, I would look to take the first 5 minute buy at or near minor support at the 67.75 area with a long target of 68.25. If we gap down or open neutral and trade down near the 67.50 area, I'd look to take the first 2 minute buy setup that occurs with targets of 67.78 and a longer target of 68.25.  If we gap or trade through the 67.07 area, I would look to take the first 5 minute sell that occurs with a low target of 66.50 and a second lower target of 66.00.  My bias is long until the 5 minute uptrend ends.

QQQII03042013
QQQII03042013

Longs:

AXP - Break out watch

HOG - Pivot I

INFY - Daily buy watch

RIG - Gap continuation

T - Break out

TGT - Break out

UAL - Break out

WMT - Break out

Shorts:

INTU - Climatic watch

POT - Daily sell triggered

VZ - Climatic watch 

Posted in Daily Analysis, TraderHank's Stock Picks | Comments Off on QQQ recomendations for Tuesday, March 5th, 2013 and TraderHank’s stock picks

QQQ closing update and TraderHank’s play in C

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The QQQ opened the day at 67.17 just slight lower from Friday’s close and rallied up to the declining 20 ma and triggered the first sell for the day by 9:40.  The Q’s headed lower setting the days low by 10:35 @ 67.07 then priced rallied back up to test the Friday’s afternoon highs of 67.45 where price based until lunch then rolled over hard heading lower to test the 67.07 low of the day by 12:35.  Price headed upward and never looked back making high highs and higher lows, the QQQ broke out above the days high of 67.17 only to close at the high @ 67.75.

QQQ03042013
QQQ03042013

My play of the day was my token long in C which I found during my 9:45 wide range bar scan.  I needed a long just in case the market decide to break out and go long as it did, I entered my long in C after a retest of a prior low area just after triggering a 5 minute buy setup.  I used the stop from this first 5 minute buy and entered the play long at 11:15 am.  Price did what I expected it would do and that is to consolidate for much of the day and finally breaking out to the upside at 2:15 pm the end of the lunch period. Price rallied hitting my first target where I sold 1/2 of my shares and price continued to rally into the close where I sold my last remaining shares.  A great trade making 1 1/2 risk units…

C03042013
C03042013
Posted in 9:45 Wide Range Bar Plays, Daily Analysis | Comments Off on QQQ closing update and TraderHank’s play in C

Monday’s outlook for the QQQ and TraderHank’s stock picks

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The QQQ ended the day Friday going sideways from lunch to closing and trading in a range of 67.30 – 67.50.  For Monday if we gap above the 67.50 and rally or open neutral and breakout above this area, I would take the first 5 minute buy that occurs in the market with a first target of 67.60 and a longer target of 67.75. 

If the QQQ gaps below the 67.28 area and sells off or if we open neutral and break down below this area, the first 5 minute sell that triggers in the market would be short able with a first lower target of the 67.03 area and two lower targets of 66. 78 and 66.32.  I expected the Q’s to have broken down on Friday afternoon, but it did not, so my bias is long and after reviewing the daily chart after Friday’s close, we look higher.  Wait for the break out or break down in the market, then follow accordingly…

QQQ03032013
QQQ03032013

Longs:  

APOL – Climatic watch

CREE – Pivot I

INFY – Daily buy watch

PEP – Break out watch

Shorts:

ANF – Daily sell triggered

ANR – Pivot I

FWLT – Gap continuation

HAL – Daily sell triggered

HOG – Daily sell triggered

PCAR – Daily sell triggered

POT – Daily sell triggered

VZ – Climatic watch

Posted in Daily Analysis, TraderHank's Stock Picks | Comments Off on Monday’s outlook for the QQQ and TraderHank’s stock picks