QQQ update and TraderHank’s play in CTSH

Share Button

The Q’s gaped up to a higher high from yesterday’s last pivot high to open at 65.87 and immediately set the low at 65.70 within the first 10 minutes.  Price rallied a bit and rolled over again testing the lows of 65.70 at 10 am reversal time.  We had been running into minor resistance easily seen on the 60 minute chart which made trading long doubtful early on.  After hitting the lows again at 10 am, the market triggered the first 5 minute buy setup and never looked back breaking through minor resistance then major resistance and setting a new high of 66.64.  Basically a trend day which can be a really difficult trading day for many veterans.  My first play was in CTSH which I entered on a 5 minute high play.  I found CTSH on my daily gap list gaping over 5 days of consolidation easily seen on the 60 minute chart.  This is an example of me moving my stop up where appropriate and taking my stop only to have price recover, reset, and then rip higher all day.  I could have replayed this but I never noticed the opportunity.  All I know is that price should have continued making higher highs, and higher lows and I would have been in the stock.  But when it breaks a pivot, I’ve found more then not that I’m ending up taking a full “R” loss on the trade.  Obviously this was not the case here with CTSH, but how every you manage, you must do it exactly the same way every time or it is impossible to know if your trading play is good or if it needs to be tweeked a bit.  Basically a scratch trade for me that could have been huge…

CTSH
CTSH

      

Posted in Daily Analysis, Gap plays | Comments Off on QQQ update and TraderHank’s play in CTSH

QQQ update and TraderHank’s play in TEVA

Share Button

The Q’s opened up neutral and immediately set the low of the day @ 64.66 then blasted off setting the morning high by 9:45 am @65.12 which broke the last pivot high set on Friday and also breaks the 5 minute downtrend.  Then the market pulled in and set a higher low @ 64.69 near reversal time at 10:20.  Now the market has rallied back up into the high of the day at 65.12, rolled back over and triggered the first 5 minute buy in the new uptrend.  Price confirmed the new uptrend by taking out the high of the day and has set a new high at 65.35 which is the current area that the Q’s are basing at.  My first trade was in TEVA which I found on my Daily climatic watch list.  TEVA sold off hard at the open which got my attention.  At the end of the first 5 minutes, TEVA had a nice wide range red bar on the 5 minute chart.  Price action proceeded to engulf the first red WRB and took out the high which was my first entry long.  Price action shot up to the .42 cent area so fast, that I could not sell fast enough, I managed to unload 1/2 of my shares and sold the rest after further weakness.  When the market gives you such a gift bar, you should always take some profits.  A few minutes later TEVA triggered a 2 minute buy opportunity and I took the play back up into the highs of the day again with another pop.  I was ready this time and sold the entire position.  I think this entire trade was about 10 minutes with a total profit of 2 1/3rd “R” units, not a bad way to start off your Monday morning 🙂

teva
teva
Posted in Daily Analysis, Daily plays | Comments Off on QQQ update and TraderHank’s play in TEVA

QQQ update and TraderHank’s short play in SNDK

Share Button

The market gaped below the major support area this morning of 65.03 and quickly set the low of the day in the 2nd 5 minute bar @ 64.66 before pushing upward and setting the high of the day by 9:45 am @ 65.08.  Then the market triggered the first 5 minute sell which worked out as price has since moved lower.  The Q’s price action looks like it will be a narrow range day in which it makes more sense to take quick profits vs attempting to stay in the trade all day.  My first play was a 15 minute sell setup in SNDK which I found on my gap down list.  Not a Tier I gap but something that could be played mid-morning if price action set up correctly.  The setup was by no means “good looking” or text book, it was more gut felt then anything and I had the market with me.  The short play was also triggering on the 5 minute chart as well so I had the 5 minute players on my side.  I entered on the break of the COG bar on the 15 minute chart with a target back down at the low.  I’ve seen this type of chart before, when you have a significant bottoming tail, you cannot expect to reach the bottom on the first sell setup, you have to be realistic on your lower target.  Price action moved down nicely allowing me to take profits at ideal areas and finally trailing out of the play at the perfect location.  With this trade and the profits from yesterday, I have my week in.  Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday were all scratch days but Thursday and today, Friday made the week.  The big key here is be patient and wait for your trades, don’t settle for 2nd best, you can be as exact at trading as you want to be, it’s up to you!  Have a great weekend everyone!

sndk
sndk

       

Posted in Daily Analysis, Gap plays | Comments Off on QQQ update and TraderHank’s short play in SNDK

QQQ analysis and TraderHank’s stock picks for Friday, December 14th, 2012

Share Button

Since 10:30 today the market has been under severe selling pressure setting the day’s low and ending the 5 minute down trend just after lunch at 2:15 pm reversal time.  The market did rally at 3:30 pm into the close putting in a W bottom but price is coming into strong selling resistance at the 66.45 area.  For tomorrow if we open neutral and trade to or gap up below the 65.73 area I would short the first sell setup at 10 am or 10:30 am reversal time looking for a target at major support at the 65.02 area and a 2nd target of 64.70 area.  If we happen to gap above the 65.73 area, I’d look for the first pull back in this area or base break out higher with a target of the 66.15 area.  My bias is still short, today we almost completed our M top pattern but we could also gap down tomorrow to the 65.00 where I would look for Major support to hold and look to take the first higher low long back up into the 65.50-65.73 area.  If we gap below the 65.02 area, take the first 2 or 5 minute sell and look to bottom somewhere at the 64.70-64.50 area of support.  Let price lead the way!

 
qqq12142012 1
qqq12142012 1

qqq12142012

Longs:

MS – Daily 1234 pattern

Teva – Climatic watch

Shorts:

MGM – Climatic Watch

NOV – Break down continuation

WAG – Climatic continuation

XLNX – Climatic Continuation

Posted in Daily Analysis, TraderHank's Stock Picks | Comments Off on QQQ analysis and TraderHank’s stock picks for Friday, December 14th, 2012

TraderHank’s climatic short trade in WAG

Share Button

I found WAG on my climatic daily list and I took the first 15 minute sell set up.  As the market rolled over so did WAG.  Price fell for 1 hour and 15 minutes and I trailed out with a handsome profit of over 2 1/2 “R”isk units 🙂  Here is the chart for my trade in WAG.

wag 1
wag 1
Posted in Daily plays | Comments Off on TraderHank’s climatic short trade in WAG

TraderHank’s trade finishes profitable in AUDUSD

Share Button

It’s over!  I’m glad I lowered my take profit area so the overall trade finishes profitably.  

Trade is over
Trade is over
Posted in Forex, Uncategorized | Comments Off on TraderHank’s trade finishes profitable in AUDUSD

TraderHank’s play in SLB

Share Button

My next play was in SLB which I found on my gap down list this morning.  Not a great gap, but good enough to break the uptrend on the hourly chart.  My entry was the first 15 minute sell setup as the market rolled over and started it’s hard sell off.  SLB started lower but then the next 15 minute bar got bully and price never sold off as the market was.  After price engulfed my first profitable red bar I killed my trade with a small loss.  I had two other trades that were working properly, no sense on taking a full stop here!  Work or you get fired!  Here is my chart on my play in SLB….

SLB
SLB
Posted in Gap plays | Comments Off on TraderHank’s play in SLB

Morning update in the QQQ and TraderHank’s first play short in NOV

Share Button

The Q’s had a small gap down this morning to yesterday’s low and rallied up for the first 5 minutes then it rolled back down and retested the low at 65.63 before price rallied upward to make the high of the day at 66.16 an area of minor resistance by 10:30.  Then the market sold off hard taking out major support and currently price is basing at the low of the day @ 65.15.  My first play of the day was a short in NOV which I found on my Daily break down list.  I entered the play on the first 5 minute sell just off the declining 20 ma @ 10 am reversal time.  Price action was a little bullish until the market began selling off by 10:30 am.  I took some profits at .50 cents and I was already up .50 cents, at this point you start to feel like you are getting a little piggy…lol… Anyway I sold again 1/2 of my shares at the break a 5 minute bar after Price had dropped 5 bars already.  I trailed out of the play at the break of the 20 ma on the 2 minute chart which is my favorite trailing method.  A 2 “R”isk trade without much worry.  Here is my chart for my play in NOV…

NOV12132012
NOV12132012
Posted in Daily Analysis, Daily plays | Comments Off on Morning update in the QQQ and TraderHank’s first play short in NOV

TraderHank’s update on his trade short in AUDUSD

Share Button

Finally first take profit area has been taken out and price is headed for the final take profit area of 1.05110.  I’ve lowered the final profit area just a bit to make the trade profitable.  As I mentioned yesterday I lost 2 lots during the Fed announcement, Next time I’ll take the $2 loss and re-enter the trade after the announcement.  I won’t do this for Europe since I’m asleep and not around but I could have really made this trade profitable Vs. just a break even trade.  Here is the update chart on my counter trend play in AUDUSD…

AUDUSD12132012
AUDUSD12132012
Posted in Forex | Comments Off on TraderHank’s update on his trade short in AUDUSD

QQQ analysis for Thursday December 13th, 2012 and TraderHank’s stock picks…

Share Button

Tomorrows News:

10:00 am – Business Inventories

10:30 Natural Gas Inventories

13:00 30 year bond auction 

The Q’s closed today in a 5 minute downtrend and I would expect some follow through tomorrow.  We also have an M top forming on the daily chart of the Q’s which is bearish and could mean that we are going lower from here.  For tomorrow, If we gap up and stay below the 66.10 area, I would be looking to take the first 5 minute sell setup that happens at or near 10 am reversal time.  If we open neutral or gap lower and break today’s low, I would look to take the first 5 minute sell or base break down that occurs.  Lower targets are 65.50, 65.00 and 64.50 areas on the low side.  I would not look for a long until the 5 minute down trend is over or something strange happens like we gap to the 66.30 area and rally, then the first pull back would be buy able.

QQQ1213201212222
QQQ1213201212222

Longs:

C – Daily Buy Triggered

HOG – Daily break out

JCP – Money Bar

LOW – Daily buy Watch

MS – 123 pattern

TOL – W bottom

VZ – Break out

ABX – W bottom

Shorts:

LLY – Gap continuation

NOV – Break down

WAG – Climatic top

XLNX – Climatic top 

Posted in Daily Analysis, TraderHank's Stock Picks | Comments Off on QQQ analysis for Thursday December 13th, 2012 and TraderHank’s stock picks…