QQQ afternoon update and TraderHank’s play of the day in NTAP

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The QQQ opened with a small gap up to the top of yesterday’s afternoon base @ 79.00 and went sideways until 9:55 am reversal time when price broke down.  The Q’s sold off hard into 10:20 am to set the low of the day @ 78.57.  Then price bounced off this major support area and headed back up to the mornings opening price and setting a new high by 11:15 reversal time @ 79.18.  Price faded a bit into 12:25 when the QQQ triggered it’s first 15 minute buy and now has set a new high of the day @ 79.25 currently at 1:50 pm.  

QQQ 09242013
QQQ 09242013

My play of the day came in NTAP which I found this morning as a Tier II bearish gap on its daily chart.  My entry came as a gap fill play as the market was breaking lower at reversal time.  NTAP formed a beautiful V top pattern and triggered a 5 minute sell which I gladly enter short.   As the market sold off hard, so did NTAP and my target I was soon hit as I covered 1/3rd @ .72 cent.  My second target was @ .51 and it looked like price was going to hit this area but after price hit .53 I could tell that buyers were starting to enter here in this area, so I decide to cover my 2nd 1/3rd @ .58 and I soon covering the rest @ .64 cents.  I was able to net out a nice 2 “R”isk unit trade on this 90 point play in NTAP.

NTAP 09242013
NTAP 09242013

     

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QQQ Market play for Tuesday, September 24th, 2013 and TraderHank’s stock picks

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The QQQ recovered from the morning sell off and price finally went sideways after a healthy rally.  Price is currently stuck between 79.02 and 78.70 areas on the 5 minute chart, but on the 60 minute chart the Q's triggered the hourly sell over the last two hours of trading on Monday.  For Tuesday, if we open neutral and trade above the 79.10 area, I'd look to take the first buy setup near the 79.00 area with a first target at the 79.25 and a longer target @ 79.50 area.  If we happen to open neutral and trade down or gap down below the 78.66, I'd look to take the first 5 minute short that triggers near 10 am or 10:30 am reversal time.  Lower targets would be 78.54 area and a lower target of the 78.45 area.  My bias is short because of the sell that triggered on the 60 minute time frame, and if we see follow through, I'd expect price to break the last lower pivot at the 78.45 area.

Click on chart to enlarge... 

QQQ 09242013 Homework
QQQ 09242013 Homework

Longs: Shorts:

WFC - Daily buy watch C - Gap continuation

JPM - Gap continuation 

MET - 1234 watch

VLO - Breakdown continuation 

Posted in TraderHank's Stock Picks | Comments Off on QQQ Market play for Tuesday, September 24th, 2013 and TraderHank’s stock picks

QQQ update and TraderHank’s play in WAG

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The QQQ gaped up this morning above the prior 15 minute pivot to open @ 79.34, then sold off for the first 5 minutes taking out the low causing traders to enter short. Price soon recovered closing near the high of the first 5 minute red bar and poking above to set the high of the day so far @ 79.41 and causing many traders to enter long. Finally, price sold off hard taking out the prior green bar and we were off to the races short in the QQQ as the longs were caught off guard and had to cover, a very tricky 15 minutes of trading this morning. The QQQ sold off into 10:10 am reversal time and price then went sideways until 10:50 and broke down again.  The QQQ sold off setting the low of the day by 11:15 am reversal time @ 78.46.  Price then formed a W bottoming formation by 12:00 noon and has headed higher and currently trading @ 78.76,

qqq 09232013
qqq 09232013

I had a nice 15 minute buy setup in WAG this morning as the market was turning @ 11:15 am.  I found WAG this morning on my GAP up list gaping over Friday's red bar which is very bullish and is possibly an RBI (Red Bar Ignored) on the Daily chart.  RBI's can be powerful patterns because they setup measured moves.  As a COG formed on the 15 minute chart of WAG, after a 4 bar pull back, I zoomed down to the 5 minute chart where a doji style bar was forming.  Narrow range bars are a sign that momentum is slowing so I was prepared to enter just above this bar.  As I entered price moved up nicely and I was able to hit my first target @ .48 where I sold 1/3rd of my shares.  I sold another 1/3rd @ .56 as price was getting a little shaky.  Then I was hoping to add and reduce my stop and I got my chance 10 minutes later on a 2 bar pull back.  The reduced stop was broken 10 minutes later as I trailed out of the play.  This play had all of the potential, but with the market weak, you've to be ready to take your profits quick on a long play.  The play netted just under 1 risk unit of profit, here is the chart for my play in WAG...

WAG 09232013
WAG 09232013

       

Posted in Gap plays, Market Update | Comments Off on QQQ update and TraderHank’s play in WAG

QQQ market play for Monday, September 23rd, 2013 and TraderHank’s stock picks

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The QQQ ended the day on Friday @ 78.99 in a downtrend on the 5 and 15 minute time frames.  Price is currently at an area of resistance which can be seen on the 15 minute chart via the overlapping bars.  For Monday if we open neutral price could bounce from here but by the way we got here I kinda doubt that we are finished going lower.  All of those overlapping bars on the 5 and 15 minute chart would make it a hard grind going back up and a tougher trading environment, if this were to occur, I would wait for the uptrend to end on the 5 minute chart and look to get short.  If we happen to gap down or trade down below the 78.99 area we could look to short the first 5 minute sell that occurs in the market preferable at 10 am reversal time near this same area. Lower targets would be the minor support on the 60 minute chart @ the 78.75-78.60 area.  It is this minor support area that I’d be looking to play the hourly buy, if it triggers, zoom down to the 5 minute chart to find your entry long.  Your long target would be back up to the high @ 79.65 area.  If, for some reason we happen to gap above the 79.30 area and run up, I’d look to get long on the first 5 or 15 minute buy that triggers in this same area with a long target back up to the 79.65.  Click on chart to enlarge…

QQQ 09222013 homework
QQQ 09222013 homework

Longs: Shorts:

ADBE – Gap continuation  ESRX – 123 watch

RIG – Breakdown continuation

STI – 123 watch

UNH – 123 watch

VZ – Daily sell triggered

      

Posted in TraderHank's Stock Picks | Comments Off on QQQ market play for Monday, September 23rd, 2013 and TraderHank’s stock picks

09/21/2013 Add and Reduce, Reversal Times and Homework…

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I have to admit, a few weeks ago I felt like the wheels fell off with my equity trading.  I was attempting to make changes to the way I take my plays attempting to have a major breakthrough, instead I had a breakdown.  Once you have a profitable, workable plan, stick with it.  Minor changes could have big results either way, in my case it went the wrong way.  I’ve recovered, went back to what has been working and I’ve been focusing on items in my plan that I’ve not been doing enough of such as adding shares back and reducing my stops.  I’ve decided that adding and reducing needs to be a priority on every play.  This is how a trader will learn to build into big size properly and have the ability to take a small share size and make big money.  Caution here, you can only add and reduce if the play is going in the correct direction, attempting to move price or add to plays in the wrong direction will always end in grief and frustration.  In order to reduce your stop means that you have to have a profitable position which allows you to buy more shares which will move your price, but keep price just above your stop when adding.         

I’ve also looked at my plan to see what I’m not doing or not taking more advantage of and one of these are reversal times.  Reversal time are 9:35, 10:00, 10:30, 11:15, 12:00, 1:30 2:15, 3:00 and 3:30.  At these times the market can and usually does, start a move or end it.  If you look at previous days 5 minute charts and draw a line down the chart at 10:00 am and 10:30 am you will notice that the market usually sets the high and the low, for the day, between these time frames about 80% of the time, give or take 10 minutes.  If you can align your trades with these time frames you will see your trading take off to new levels of profitability.  Your odds of a successful trade greatly increase if taken at a Reversal time.

The last item that I had gotten away from was doing my homework the night before.  I always go through my stock universe daily, but I was not doing my analysis on the market as often.  I’ve notice that my trading becomes mastery when I do my homework everyday.  The habit of going over the QQQ daily and coming up with my morning market plays is my guarantee of having a successful trading week and should not be taken lightly.  Hint, every day trader should be doing this, this is the real reason behind my blog, it gives me somewhere to write it down, internalize it = Mastery.  

My week went boringly well, nothing to show for Friday just 4-5 trades attempted, nothing but small gains, and at the end of the day Friday I was happy, up 1 Risk unit and I’ve been profitable everyday this week and I’ve had only one losing day in 2 weeks.  A little adds up quickly and every once in a while you will have that OMG play that will make your month.  Keep Trading!     

Posted in Diary, Uncategorized | Comments Off on 09/21/2013 Add and Reduce, Reversal Times and Homework…

QQQ update for Friday, September 20th, 2013, and TraderHank’s stock picks…

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After  Yesterday's sideways price action, If the Q's trade or gap above the 79.70 area I would look to take the first 5 or 15 minute buy that occurs near 10 am or 10:30 am reversal time,  I'd stay long until the 2 minute uptrend ends.  If we happen to gap below or trade through the 79.25 area I'd be looking to take the next sell in the market lower with targets at 79.10 - 78.95 area and a lower target of 78.40.  If the sideways pattern continues, wait for the breakout or breakdown before taking a trade.  Click on chart to enlarge... 

qqq 09192013 homework
qqq 09192013 homework

Longs: Shorts:

FWLT - Breakout continuation DIS - Gap continuation

HD - Breakout continuation ESRX - Breakdown continuation

LOW - Pivot I MET - Breakdown Continuation

LVS - Pivot I

MSFT - Break out continuation

NOV - Break out continuation

PCAR - Break out continuation

TGT - 123

UAL - Break out continuation

Posted in Market Update, TraderHank's Stock Picks | Comments Off on QQQ update for Friday, September 20th, 2013, and TraderHank’s stock picks…

QQQ afternoon update and TraderHank’s short play in DIS

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The QQQ opened with a small gap just above yesterday’s high @ 79.55 and ran up to set the high of the day by our first reversal time 9:35 am @ 79.68.  Price then sold off taking out the first 5 minute green bar and headed lower into our first 5 minute buy that triggered.  Price headed to the high of the day again but could not break the .68 cent area and price rolled back over.  Since, we have been in a tight trading range from 79.68 – 79.36 through lunch.  It’s been a narrow range day as expected, here’s the chart for the QQQ…

QQQ 09192013
QQQ 09192013

My play of the day came in DIS which I found on my gap down list this Morning.  A Tier III gap which requires a setup for entry and is better off to be played after 10:30 am. Unfortunately, I missed the first 5 minute sell as I was away from my desk, so, I thought I would look for an entry.  After 3 red bars down, Price put in a nice solid green bar in DIS ending the move lower.  I was looking for a retracement but what I got was a bear 180 bar which usually means we are heading lower.  I wanted to play DIS because of the huge void on the daily chart and I knew we had at least another .50 cents lower so I decided to start my play with about 1/3rd share size below the wipeout of the 5 minute green bar. Price then consolidated for almost an hour not being able to muster a retracement higher.  At 11:25 price  broke down lower confirming our downtrend for short traders. Price fell so far and so fast that I was forced into taking some profits. Price then rallied up 2 – 5 minute bars and triggered another short entry so I added back my shares and reduced my stop.  Price moved lower where I covered a few more shares before price rallied back up into minor support and triggering another sell and again I added shares short.  Soon DIS had it’s flurry lower where I covered all but a few shares and finally trailed out of the play since I had been reducing my stop every time I added.  This is a great example of taking a small position and being able to work into more than a full position safely and profitably.  

DIS daily 09192013
DIS daily 09192013
DIS 09192013
DIS 09192013
 

              

Posted in Gap plays, Market Update | Comments Off on QQQ afternoon update and TraderHank’s short play in DIS

QQQ market play for Thursday, September 19th, 2013 and TraderHank’s stock picks

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The QQQ ended the day with all time periods in an uptrend, thanks to the Fed.  I'd look for more follow through to the upside tomorrow, but expect a narrow range day, which means, take your profit early and don't expect another green wide range bar day.  For tomorrow, if we gap or trade down just above the 78.90 area, I'd look to take the first 15 minute buy at 10:00 am or 10:30 am reversal time.  Long targets will be back up to the high near 79.50.  If we happen to gap up above the 79.50 area, I'd look to take the first 5 or 15 minute buy that triggers above the 79.10 area with the same target as mentioned at 79.50 area, don't be surprised if this area breaks higher.  I would look for a short play only if the 78.90 area was traded through or we gap below this area, then take the first 5 minute sell that occurs near this same area preferably near a reversal time.  Short targets will be the 78.70 - 78.60 area...  Click on chart to enlarge...

09182013 QQQ homework
09182013 QQQ homework

Longs:   Shorts:

ADBE - Gap continuation ESRX - WRB continuation "picture of weakness"

AKAM - Pivot I

INTC - Pivot I

JNPR - Daily buy continuation

LLY - Pivot I

LOW - Daily buy triggered

LVS - Pivot I

QCOM - Daily buy triggered

SLB - Break out continuation

T - Pivot I

      

Posted in Market Update, TraderHank's Stock Picks | Comments Off on QQQ market play for Thursday, September 19th, 2013 and TraderHank’s stock picks

QQQ afternoon update and TraderHank’s play in ALL

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The QQQ had a small gap up this morning to open up @ 78.49 above Tuesday's high of 78.47.  Then, price just went sideways trading in a tight range between 78.51 and 78.45 until 11:00 am when prices started to fade a little hitting the low of the day by 12:00 noon @ 78.33.  From here price started a slow grind up into our Fed announcement @ 2:00 pm when prices exploded to the upside setting the high of the day at 79.47 by 3:00 pm.  Prices are currently trading just off the highs @ 79.34 with 10 minutes left to go in today's trading...

QQQ 09182013
QQQ 09182013

My play of the day came in ALL which I had found on my daily list as a 123 continuation play.  After the Fed announcement, I was looking for something that would pull back for an entry.  My whole list was just powering upward with no entries in site, then I noticed a bottoming tail bar in ALL on the 5 minute chart.  ALL, had just a 2 bar pull back, I usually look for 3 red bars at least, but price action put in a bottoming tail that I found compelling enough for me to hit the ask @ .75 cents.  Not a huge void to the upside but with the QQQ powering upward, I thought ALL had a chance to give me more than just 1 to 1 risk.  Price powered upward nicely and I sold 2/3rds at the prior high @ .90 and I kept a 1/3rd for the break out higher.  I moved my stop to a penny just above break even and unfortunately, price broke down and trailed me out of the play.  I made an "R"isk unit on the play.  Here is my chart for my play in ALL...

ALL 09182013 5 minute chart
ALL 09182013 5 minute chart

      

Posted in Daily 123 play, Market Update | Comments Off on QQQ afternoon update and TraderHank’s play in ALL

QQQ market play update for Wednesday, September 18th, 2013 and TraderHank’s stock picks

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The Q's finally broke a lower pivot ending the 5 minute uptrend near the end of the trading day, even though, we are still in an uptrend on the 15 minute chart.  If we happen to open neutral or slightly lower above the 78.25 level, I would look to play the first 15 minute buy long near 10:00 am reversal time with a short first target @ the 78.48 area and a long target of the 78.70 area.  If we happen to gap over the 78.45 area and price runs up, we could look to take the first 5 minute buy that triggers in the market at or near 10:00 am or 10:30 am reversal time.  If the 5 minute chart confirms the downtrend by trading through the 78.25 area or gaps below this area, I would look to take the first 5 minute sell that triggers up into the 78.33 area.  My low targets would be 78.20 and a very nice lower target @ the 78.00 area.  Click on chart to enlarge...  

QQQ homework 09172013
QQQ homework 09172013

Longs: Shorts:

ALL - Break out continuation VLO - 123 watch

ANR - Daily buy triggered

CHRW - Gap continuation

MS - Gap continuation

PCAR - Gap continuation

QCOM - Bullish Gap surprise continuation

SLB - Break out continuation

WAG - 123 continuation

X - Gap continuation

XLNX - RBI

Posted in Market Update, TraderHank's Stock Picks | Comments Off on QQQ market play update for Wednesday, September 18th, 2013 and TraderHank’s stock picks